This article originally appeared on the Irvine Housing Blog.
Fannie Mae announces a policy to withhold loans from strategic defaulters for seven years and pursue deficiency judgements. Do you think they will really do it?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_e5YTSDi8gM&feature=player_embedded

I’m the one to taste your death
Basking in your dying breath
Messenger of all demise
Point is where all die
Piercing, impaling no judgement, just punishment
Desecrate, annihilate assault with no regret
Born to kill sweep and clear
Staring down the face of fearSlayer — Point
A few months ago, I chastised Fannie Mae for their stupid policy of reducing the punishment time for getting a new loan from 5 years to 2 years after a default. Perhaps someone there read the post Fannie Mae Encourages Strategic Default by Reducing Punishment Time for New Loan where I pointed out their new policy would encourage strategic default because now they are modifying their own policy to target those who walk away.
Fannie Mae Increases Penalties for Borrowers Who Walk Away
Seven-Year Lockout Policy for Strategic Defaulters
WASHINGTON, DC — Fannie Mae (FNM/NYSE) announced today policy changes designed to encourage borrowers to work with their servicers and pursue alternatives to foreclosure. Defaulting borrowers who walk-away and had the capacity to pay or did not complete a workout alternative in good faith will be ineligible for a new Fannie Mae-backed mortgage loan for a period of seven years from the date of foreclosure. Borrowers who have extenuating circumstances may be eligible for new loan in a shorter timeframe.
So they have added two conditions: (1) must not have capacity to pay, or (2) must complete a loan modification in good faith.
How is that supposed to work?
First, who determines whether or not the borrower had capacity to pay? Let’s say a borrower defaults, and three years from now, they want a new Fannie Mae loan. Is the burden of proof now on the borrower to document that they couldn’t afford the payments years earlier when they defaulted? What is the criteria for establishing capacity? Who sets these criteria? Who keeps track of the documentation? Do you really think if the government — who still runs Fannie Mae — will turn away potential buyers in the future when they will be desperately needed?
Second, it is obvious that anyone planning to strategically default will simply get a loan modification and then stop paying. This must be obvious even to Fannie Mae who slipped in a “good faith” clause. Who will determine if the borrower made a good faith effort? And like the previous issue, if there is a need for borrowers to fill foreclosed homes, do you think the government will turn people away? I don’t.
I commend Fannie Mae for trying to prevent strategic default, but all they are doing is bluffing existing borrowers with a threat they will never follow through on.
“We’re taking these steps to highlight the importance of working with your servicer,” said Terence Edwards, executive vice president for credit portfolio management. “Walking away from a mortgage is bad for borrowers and bad for communities and our approach is meant to deter the disturbing trend toward strategic defaulting. On the flip side, borrowers facing hardship who make a good faith effort to resolve their situation with their servicer will preserve the option to be considered for a future Fannie Mae loan in a shorter period of time.”
Fannie Mae will also take legal action to recoup the outstanding mortgage debt from borrowers who strategically default on their loans in jurisdictions that allow for deficiency judgments. In an announcement next month, the company will be instructing its servicers to monitor delinquent loans facing foreclosure and put forth recommendations for cases that warrant the pursuit of deficiency judgments.
This is another empty threat. Fannie Mae like any servicer already has criteria for going after defaulting owners who have assets. Nothing has changed. Including this in the press release is an obvious bluff intended only to scare potential borrowers. Most people who strategically default — actually accelerated default – don’t have any assets for Fannie Mae to recover.
Troubled borrowers who work with their servicers, and provide information to help the servicer assess their situation, can be considered for foreclosure alternatives, such as a loan modification, a short sale, or a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure. A borrower with extenuating circumstances who works out one of these options with their servicer could be eligible for a new mortgage loan in three years and in as little as two years depending on the circumstances. These policy changes were announced in April, in Fannie Mae’s Selling Guide Announcement SEL-2010-05.
Fannie Mae recognizes that strategic default is going to become a bigger problem as people realize that prices are not coming back and that they are merely renting their houses from Fannie Mae at an inflated rental rate. Previous policies of the GSEs have encouraged strategic default, and now that people are doing so in large numbers, they are resorting to empty threats to keep borrowers from walking away. Good idea, but it is too little too late.